Checked on 2024-09-28
Probability: 0.3
Justification: The evidence provided shows that Russia has made some gains in the war, but it also indicates that Ukraine has been able to hold its ground and even retake some areas. Additionally, there are statements from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Czech President Petr Pavel suggesting that the war could end sooner than expected. This mixed information makes it difficult to conclude that Russia is definitively winning the war, hence the low probability score.
Final Truth Score: 0.56
Ukraine in maps: Tracking the war with Russia. Fighting has raged in Ukraine since Russia launched a full-scale invasion in February 2022. Russian forces have made small gains in recent months but ...
May 2023: Battle for Bakhmut. On May 21, Russia’s president Vladimir Putin hailed his first major victory since the early days of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, claiming that Russian forces ...
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has said the war with Russia could end sooner than some people think. "I think that we are closer to peace than we think," he told US broadcaster ABC News.
President Petr Pavel of the Czech Republic, a former senior NATO general who has been one of Ukraine’s most robust backers in its war with Russia, says he thinks it is time for Ukrainians and ...
Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February, surrounding the Ukrainian capital Kyiv. It also launched attacks in the south, east and north of the country. In early April, Ukrainian forces retook large ...